Analyst Benjamin Cowen Says Crypto Assets Are 50% Undervalued, Predicts When Bitcoin May Rally to ‘Fair Value’
The favored crypto strategist who continues to construct a following with well timed Bitcoin (BTC) evaluation says the king crypto is grossly undervalued.
In a brand new interview on the Actual Imaginative and prescient Crypto channel, Cowen says that crypto belongings are massively undervalued primarily based on the logarithmic regression mannequin.
“This chart is one thing I’ve proven a couple of occasions up to now. The blue line is the entire cryptocurrency market capitalization. The pink line is what’s referred to as the honest worth logarithmic regression trendline.
The entire thought is that the honest worth of the asset class [crypto] will increase monotonically with time and we type of oscillate round that honest worth.
Proper now, the information would recommend that we’re about 50% undervalued in comparison with the place the honest worth is.”
Though crypto’s present valuation could look engaging to long-term traders, Cowen warns that the asset class may nonetheless fall an extra 15%.
“However [the chart] additionally suggests too, that main bottoms often happen nearer to say 60% to 65% undervalued earlier than we will actually maintain one other bull market…
We nonetheless want a bit extra time earlier than we will actually claw our method out of this bear market.”
Turning to Bitcoin, Cowen says that the flagship crypto asset will probably take over 14 months earlier than it will possibly surge again to honest worth.
“Bitcoin’s value has all the time been at its honest worth at its halving.
So each single bear market we go under the honest worth after which by the point we get to the subsequent Bitcoin halving that’s the place the worth is.
So I imply to ensure that us to get again as much as the honest worth, I might say it’s probably going to happen, my guess can be 2024. Someday early 2024 is my guess.”
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