Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) Is the Only Safe Haven Amid ‘Full-Blown Recession,’ Says Host of InvestAnswers

A well-liked crypto analyst is issuing a dire warning for all monetary sectors as he breaks down the state of the macro financial system.

The nameless host of InvestAnswers tells his 442,000 YouTube subscribers that the markets tanked worse throughout the first half of 2022 than any time over the previous half-century, with markets struggling important losses as rates of interest rose.

“I’m alone on this however I’m starting to see folks flip round and start to see the numbers that we see. Initially, the financial system has screeched to a halt, regardless of the stuff that they are saying that GDP is powerful and every thing else.

No, it’s not. All markets obtained crushed. Highest, worst downfall in 50 years within the first six months of this yr. Client confidence at a report low…

The Fed’s fund fee was lower than 1% final yr – now it’s concentrating on 3.8% in early 2023. That could be a 4x in rates of interest. We’re in a full-blown recession. No ifs, ands or buts about that.”

The analyst provides that the present scenario is way worse than throughout the 2018 inventory market dive as a result of the US added $9 trillion price of debt in about 4 years.

“We now have an empire constructed on debt that can’t deal with charges over 3.2%. It merely can’t, and let me clarify why in easy numbers. The max Fed funds rate of interest was 3.2% in 2018 and the markets crashed with $9 trillion much less of debt than they’ve now.

That’s solely 4 or 5 years in the past, so mainly they can not additionally elevate charges in a recession. My easy view of the world, and I might guess my backside greenback on it.”

Turning his consideration to safe-haven investments, the InvestAnswers host notes that within the wake of each financial and political crises affecting European currencies, the power of the US Greenback Index (DXY) held up surprisingly nicely and even outperformed the Swiss franc over the previous six months.

“There’s nothing however doom and gloom everywhere, however there’s a little little bit of a silver lining. In accordance with what we see on the DXY, it does appear like it’s topping out. It did spike to almost 108, and it got here proper again down once more. That kind of formation tells us it may very well be out of steam.

I feel the time to hedge was positively earlier this yr. [Previously] I had a query concerning the euro versus the Swiss franc, and I mentioned the Swiss franc was a safer place. Because it seems, the greenback would have carried out slightly higher by about 2% or 3% in that timeframe. However no person anticipated the euro to come back crashing down so exhausting.”

The analyst concludes by saying folks nonetheless have time to amass exhausting property like Bitcoin (BTC) somewhat than fiat currencies as a part of a method to hedge in opposition to future losses of their funding portfolios.

“The brilliant spot is, [since] it’s in all probability too late to hedge, get exhausting property. Take into consideration Bitcoin.

That’s the way in which you hedge your portfolio proper now. That can protect your shopping for energy regardless of the very fact it’s nonetheless thought of a risk-on asset and nonetheless tanking with every thing else.

That’s in all probability the most secure guess. Avoid the fiat currencies. All of them have issues.”

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