Analysis

As Bitcoin Loses $19,000, Crypto’s Hopes Rest on the Ethereum Merge

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin has slid under $19,000 for the primary time since June.
  • The cryptocurrency market has appeared rocky for weeks regardless of a aid rally over the summer time.
  • Crypto merchants and traders are anticipating Ethereum’s upcoming “Merge” occasion, however it could not have the speedy impression folks have been hoping for.

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Ethereum’s highly-anticipated “Merge” is about to ship subsequent week, however even that is probably not sufficient to cease Bitcoin and the remainder of the crypto market from bleeding. 

Bitcoin Sends Crypto Market Tumbling 

As is a practice within the crypto market, September has received off to a rocky begin for Bitcoin and its youthful siblings. 

BTC/USD (Supply: CoinGecko)

The world’s prime cryptocurrency prolonged its weeks-long shedding streak Wednesday, tumbling under $19,000 for the primary time for the reason that crypto market’s liquidity disaster occasion in June. Per CoinGecko data, Bitcoin is buying and selling at about $18,730 at press time, down 5.8% on the day. It’s at the moment over 70% wanting its November 2021 peak. 

Bitcoin’s newest selloff has hit the likes of Ethereum, BNB, Cardano, and Solana even tougher, resulting in a market-wide downturn that’s introduced the worldwide cryptocurrency market capitalization under $1 trillion. 

After Three Arrows Capital’s blow-up and the following collapse of crypto lenders like Celsius and Voyager Digital, the crypto market had proven indicators of restoration over the summer time. Ethereum and different belongings surged greater than 100% from the June backside helped partially by slowing inflation charges and comparatively conservative strikes from the Federal Reserve, however the market’s bullish momentum was referred to as into query in mid-August when Bitcoin failed to interrupt previous $25,000 (Crypto and different asset lessons took an enormous hit on August 26 after Fed chair Jerome Powell warned of additional “ache” for markets in a speech at Jackson Gap; he reiterated that the U.S. central financial institution hopes to carry inflation all the way down to 2%.) 

Can the Merge Save the Market? 

September has traditionally been a weak month for crypto costs, and the previous week has seen the market lengthen its late summer time hunch. Over current weeks, merchants have appeared to the upcoming Ethereum “Merge” to Proof-of-Stake as a doable catalyst for a restoration, serving to Ethereum and different associated belongings like Lido and Ethereum Basic soar. Touted as one of the important crypto occasions of the previous few years, the Merge kicked off in earnest Tuesday with the profitable activation of Ethereum’s Bellatrix improve, whereas the primary occasion is estimated to ship round per week from now. Nonetheless, with Bitcoin down, Ethereum and different belongings have taken large hits. Regardless of its summer time run, ETH is trading at $1,508 at press time, roughly 69% wanting its all-time excessive. 

Whereas there’s nonetheless time for the Merge narrative to revive the market, with Bitcoin representing roughly 36.5% of the whole cryptocurrency market cap, crypto’s devoted shall be hoping that curiosity within the prime crypto returns because it did for Ethereum over the summer time. 

The Merge is about to enhance Ethereum’s vitality effectivity by 99.99% and slash ETH issuance by 90%, however these adjustments gained’t instantly impression Bitcoin. In actual fact, a Proof-of-Stake Ethereum is more likely to expose Bitcoin’s reliance on an energy-intensive Proof-of-Work consensus mechanism, one thing that Elon Musk and a number of other main institutional gamers highlighted as a degree of concern in 2021. Bitcoin has misplaced floor to Ethereum in current weeks, main the second crypto’s prime supporters to name for a “flippening” during which Ethereum’s market capitalization overtakes Bitcoin’s.

“Flippening” hopefuls could possibly be ready a while, althoughwhereas Ethereum’s fundamentals have by no means appeared stronger, ETH has hardly ever come out unscathed from BTC’s greatest crashes previously. With crypto now nearly a yr right into a bear market and ongoing macroeconomic fears like rate of interest hikes and the European vitality disaster nonetheless spooking traders, it’s troublesome to see how the market will flip bullish for a sustained interval over the months forward. The newest selloff proves that even the largest crypto occasion in years is probably not sufficient to instill confidence within the area’s famously ardent believers.  

Disclosure: On the time of writing, the writer of this piece owned ETH and a number of other different cryptocurrencies. 

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